Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $353.75
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $103.61
Polymarket Trader
0xA8353D00074a9aC9B9527a43b242B07022bF8979-1768701359813
0xa8353d00074a9ac9b9527a43b242b07022bf8979
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $42
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $53.39
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $16.39
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$12.02
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $66.15
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $975.52
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$33.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $114.95
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $925.28
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$66.05
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $20.28
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.72
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $41.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $997.44
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$12.98
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $216.04
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $820.11
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $130.04
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $106.13
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $929.27
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $58.38
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $974.95
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$34.62
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.22
- Potential profit
- $101.22
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $68.99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$68
Yes position
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$27.06
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.2
- Potential profit
- $25.2
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Canada position
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Korea position
WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs Austria
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Up position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 59% 19.34 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 1,026.31 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 87.95 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 96.7 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.6% 272.95 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 83% 18.07 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 51% 39.22 shares