Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$94
Polymarket Trader
Swaglot
0xa8357a4294ffb5a9768dba265b2dced8f95bb8db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $468.5
- Potential payout
- $600.25
- Potential profit
- $131.76
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $448.5
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $350.88
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.75
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.69
- Potential profit
- $294.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.77
- Potential profit
- $282.77
- User PnL
- -$63
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.75
- Potential profit
- $226.75
- User PnL
- -$104.31
Della Maddalena position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.48
- Potential profit
- $181.48
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $155
- User PnL
- -$34.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.93
- Potential profit
- $147.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.59
- Potential profit
- $138.59
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$25
Vieira position
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.41
- Potential profit
- $45.41
- User PnL
- -$28.56
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.38
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.4
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.47
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.42
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
No position
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.81
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.62
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.23
No position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.43
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.74
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Shevchenko position
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 57.5% 260.97 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 16% 343.75 shares
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No 97.4% 139.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No 98.6% 208.33 shares
- Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?No 95% 327.86 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 54.2% 73.74 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 59% 67.8 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.3% 600.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?Yes 57% 350.88 shares
- Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes 28% 135.71 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No 91% 42 shares