Polymarket Trader

mofumofu

0xa83e100324690ff83be3699a8e6cfd2ab3c5ee22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.16K
Realized PnL: $10.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $40.31K
Potential payout: $43K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.81K

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $43K
Potential profit: $40.31K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$18.81K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $15.38K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.88K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $15.05K
Potential profit: $52.66
User PnL: $283.67

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $8.9K
Potential profit: $845.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$502

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $549.57
Potential payout: $691.28
Potential profit: $141.71
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $241.06

No position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $12

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $59.35
Potential payout: $81.29
Potential profit: $21.95
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $31.74
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $18.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.59

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.25

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.01

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.99

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.5

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

No position

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.33

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.83

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.16

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.6

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.2

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.49

No position

US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.02

No position

Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 14?

Yes 98% 78.91 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?

No 9% 50.01 shares
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants

Kolkata Knight Riders 74% 992.2 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 99.8% 4,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 28% 24.43 shares
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?

Up 90.1% 781.27 shares
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?

No 99.9% 164 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?

Yes 98% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 85% 1,500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 49.9% 177.11 shares
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

No 88.2% 28.24 shares
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

No 99.6% 3,209.51 shares