Polymarket Trader

ballboy95

0xa849228d5664e59f2b397b68f0429ab10668c825

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.27K
Realized PnL: $129.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.55K
Potential profit: $8.55K
User PnL: -$6.47K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $6.7K
Potential payout: $8.46K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$906.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$718.04

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$1.59K

Yes position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$231.85

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $430.43
Potential payout: $869.57
Potential profit: $439.13
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $30.44

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $723.99
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $23.99
Potential payout: $436.2
Potential profit: $412.21
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$338.06

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $392.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4K

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3K

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97K

Browns position

Browns vs. Bengals

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91K

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53K

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47K

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Lakers

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Texans position

Texans vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19K

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9K

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44K

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Under position

Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23K

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19K

Chargers position

Eagles vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17K

Steelers position

Ravens vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

Broncos position

Spread: Broncos (-1.5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Knicks

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?

Over 99% 5.5 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 4?

Over 99% 10.5 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 4?

Over 98% 150 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4?

Over 99% 10.5 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4?

Over 98% 71.02 shares
Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 4?

Over 99% 10.5 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Yes 98% 284.43 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Yes 93% 138.97 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Yes 32% 57.95 shares
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Yes 76.9% 223.76 shares
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?

No 25.8% 368.56 shares
Jazz vs. Pacers

Pacers 61% 5,000 shares