Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Polymarket Trader
huge-mike
0xa84ac985783f0c54bd70dcb8ad8b35ca40b75e60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11
- Realized PnL
- $25.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$19.71
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.01
- Potential profit
- $22.01
- User PnL
- -$20.25
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 99.3% 3.6 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 99.3% 3.6 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 99.3% 3.6 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No 98.3% 3 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 5,197.5 shares
- Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 99.1% 2.54 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 97.9% 2.42 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 98.2% 13 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 98.2% 13 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes 98.1% 2 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 95.8% 10 shares
- Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 97.9% 1.06 shares