Polymarket Trader

moa2

@GuardiaoNorte

0xa8594d02bb7cf43773ea9b3254f664c5f111fdb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $427.79
Realized PnL: $5.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$800

Yes position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$866.08

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$995.53

Chris Duncan position

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$691.36

Lopes position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$425.26

Tatsuro Taira position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $983.61
Potential profit: $983.61
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.03
Potential profit: $928.03
User PnL: -$642.38

Tabatha Ricci position

UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.25
Potential profit: $764.25
User PnL: -$359.2

Johnson position

UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $11.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $655.33
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.64
Potential profit: $558.64
User PnL: -$245.8

Yes position

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.77
Potential profit: $522.77
User PnL: -$330.49

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.89
Potential profit: $513.89
User PnL: -$241.53

Lerone Murphy position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.06
Potential profit: $507.06
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $416.46
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $116.46

No position

Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.38
Potential profit: $382.38
User PnL: -$200.42

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.78
Potential profit: $378.78
User PnL: -$164.89

Yes position

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.26
Potential profit: $357.26
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $338.98
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $327.87
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.73
Potential profit: $320.73
User PnL: -$250.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.08

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.09

Yes position

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-01?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.18

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.5

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.38

Yes position

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.94

Paulo Costa position

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.7

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.75

Gillian Robertson position

UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.07

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.83

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.42

No position

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Iwo Baraniewski position

UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.83

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.68

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.4

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.97

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.44

No position

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.85

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.26

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.28

Silva position

UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States leading at halftime?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 72% 416.67 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 43.1% 232.02 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

No 74% 675.68 shares
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 64% 9 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 55% 181.82 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?

42.7% 229.97 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 49% 204.08 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?

47.3% 208.11 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 91% 329.67 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Over 50% 95.36 shares