Polymarket Trader

2024

0xa868e59a21a4c304c2573735fe87e19dc11f2038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.43K
Realized PnL: $4.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $14.62K
Potential payout: $14.79K
Potential profit: $162.66
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$32.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.01K
Potential profit: $11.01K
User PnL: -$11.01

No position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $551.64
Potential payout: $583.74
Potential profit: $32.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $28.62

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $257.39
Potential payout: $262.51
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.46

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147

No position

Scotland leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 99.4% 2,947 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 99.3% 2,947 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 99.3% 200 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 99.2% 3,595.98 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 98.5% 2,947 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5

Under 98% 150 shares
Türkiye leading at halftime?

No 99.9% 11,552.76 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Under 99.9% 10,198.64 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Under 98.9% 5,094 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Under 99.2% 3,094.64 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Under 98.9% 2,010 shares
Türkiye leading at halftime?

No 99.4% 5,044.75 shares