No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $223.3
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $356.7
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$67.2
Polymarket Trader
penguinez
0xa86b0c67f0495e2d8b13e8c81e9134db9bcaa5ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.3
- Realized PnL
- $40.04
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$10.06
Yes position
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $224
- User PnL
- -$33.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.9
- Potential profit
- $198.9
- User PnL
- -$21.88
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.26
- Potential profit
- $164.26
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.66
- Potential profit
- $93.66
- User PnL
- -$11.24
Yes position
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$20.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 5+ times during his Thursday press conference?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.37
- Potential profit
- $19.37
- User PnL
- -$3.87
No position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.05
- Potential profit
- $18.05
- User PnL
- -$11.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Government Efficiency" during his Thursday press conference?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.4
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $31.41
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.56
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 30 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 20 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 20 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 44% 10 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 49% 20 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 49% 50 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 94 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.4% 100 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 50% 10 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 14% 71.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 27.2% 73.53 shares