Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Polymarket Trader
deak24
0xa877f7dd69b83933e0bf7925d4b8d0e32728e3e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.2
- Potential profit
- $347.2
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.81
- Potential profit
- $273.81
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.15
- Potential profit
- $180.15
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.95
- Potential profit
- $135.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$8.86
No position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $30.71
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $16.41
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 16% 18.75 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland 19% 31.58 shares
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 16.3% 30.71 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 44% 45.45 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 8% 37.5 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 3.7% 135.95 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 13% 115.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 1.3% 1,145.02 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 8% 125 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?Yes 5.6% 180.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares