Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.92K
- Potential payout
- $34.33K
- Potential profit
- $31.41K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $138.23
Polymarket Trader
ZenBear
0xa88350d4e2b9aa84b1ec3ab6348e27ad8fd631fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.38K
- Realized PnL
- $2.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $243.85
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $20.26
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $200.95
- Potential payout
- $717.68
- Potential profit
- $516.73
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$98.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $612.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.72
- Potential profit
- $531.72
- User PnL
- -$395.84
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $457.51
- Potential payout
- $522.87
- Potential profit
- $65.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $40.55
Yes position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $101.27
- Potential payout
- $421.96
- Potential profit
- $320.69
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$66.82
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $42.18
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $321.45
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $306.67
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252
- Potential profit
- $252
- User PnL
- -$61.51
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $128
- User PnL
- -$82.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.29
- Potential profit
- $96.29
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $66.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $13.74
- Potential payout
- $74.26
- Potential profit
- $60.52
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $30.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.98
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $19.34
- Potential payout
- $41.59
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $16.22
- Potential profit
- $15.42
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.57
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.97
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.73
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.32
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $193.66
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.79
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.65
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.99
Yes position
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.76
Yes position
Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.72
No position
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.28
No position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.29
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.1
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.06
Yes position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.87
No position
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.99
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $48.04
No position
Trump positive favorability on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.06
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.77
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $43.54
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $34.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 8% 400 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 8% 624.3 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes 29% 122.04 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 8% 2,209.4 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 8% 28,941.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 700 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 80% 200 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 70% 50 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes 29% 70 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 5.4% 89 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.6% 8,103.33 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes 47% 4.26 shares