Polymarket Trader

caobi

0xa884800a4bdaecb4aed5c64873ced67942687885

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.03
Realized PnL: -$1.1K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $138.64
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $7.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$10

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Jaguars

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $66.27
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $32.05
Potential profit: $24.28
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: $2.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.32
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.9%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $14.25
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 1.86x
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$4.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.34

Popyrin position

Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

Bears position

Bears vs. Vikings

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Dolphins position

Commanders vs. Dolphins

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Bublik position

Rolex Paris Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Mark Cuban launch a coin by Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.74

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.45

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$118

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 52.1% 9.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 15.6% 32.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 76.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 151.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 61% 8.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 35.1% 14.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 7.4% 135.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 38% 26.32 shares
Chargers vs. Jaguars

Chargers 61% 100 shares
Bears vs. Vikings

Bears 42% 100 shares
Commanders vs. Dolphins

Dolphins 56% 100 shares