No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $31.46
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.46
Polymarket Trader
0xa886...9899
0xa886807140dee772d6d80ff083f641b3ada49899
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $69.51
- Realized PnL
- -$7.76
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $15.01
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$13.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 64% 19 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 36% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.6% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 14% 13 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 31 shares