Polymarket Trader

0xA88fE610E85B4212829ac6c52115928759DC790f-1775925995231

0xa88fe610e85b4212829ac6c52115928759dc790f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.13
Realized PnL: $525.89
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $22.18
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $207.7
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.19
Potential profit: $224.19
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.71
Potential profit: $172.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.32
Potential profit: $56.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $35.66
Potential profit: $33.26
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $28.55
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $32.95
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $22.95

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.96
Potential profit: $22.96
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.71

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.62

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.93

Yes position

Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.45

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.29

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.7%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?

Yes 30.3% 33 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 8.7% 229.89 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 34.01 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

No 7.6% 26.32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

No 11% 27.27 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

No 10% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

No 10% 30 shares
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 43.6% 22.96 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

No 9.3% 107.83 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

No 9% 55.56 shares