Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $341.1
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$37.9
Polymarket Trader
thegreek01
0xa894e59f9544b889cc8e413a20696f512496a65c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $341.1
- Realized PnL
- $419.04
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $443.52
- Potential profit
- $443.52
- User PnL
- -$137.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.3
- Potential profit
- $428.3
- User PnL
- -$192.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.27
- Potential profit
- $314.27
- User PnL
- -$94.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15% 833.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 15% 1,693.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp 31.1% 443.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETUp 44.8% 428.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 30.2% 314.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown 67% 145.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown 99% 112.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown 97.4% 112.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 99% 122.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 80.5% 122.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 99% 174.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp 55.4% 174.83 shares