Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$79.94
Polymarket Trader
0xCD1D4bEA7833407A0d2850ECd2946BE18F8Be057-1777314480147
0xa8a72312657d91a62aafa9fcbc141cc5f6203252
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.55
- Realized PnL
- $248.12
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $893.15
- Potential profit
- $882.43
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$40.81
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $29.62
- Potential payout
- $423.15
- Potential profit
- $393.53
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$15.38
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $18.16
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $139.74
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$11.84
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $154.23
- Potential profit
- $150.99
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Y
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $127.86
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $5
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $115.06
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.88
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.45
- Potential profit
- $51.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.59
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.65
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 8.5% 117.65 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes 6.5% 154.23 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
- Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 9.7% 51.45 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11% 181.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.4% 287.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 19% 157.89 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.1% 493.47 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 8.1% 371.01 shares