No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $17.73K
- Potential payout
- $18.33K
- Potential profit
- $595.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $598.19
Polymarket Trader
testwallet4
0xa8aa73e96c6a360d2996813baabf8cab7f0ddd0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.19K
- Realized PnL
- $2.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.31K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $690
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $2.95K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $159.98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $123.9
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $65.45
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.91
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.45
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.46
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.61
No position
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.34
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.7
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.57
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.61
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.27
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.3
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.26
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.06
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.18
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.74
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 3,000 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 140 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No 82% 15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 257.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 379.13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 2,013.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 368.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 973.07 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 1,164.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 7,171.37 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 94.5% 3,088.32 shares
- Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No 85% 77 shares