Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.23M
- Potential payout
- $1.24M
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- User PnL
- $13.51K
Polymarket Trader
CongMingLabs
@CongMingLabs
0xa8b202e6e9a4c2091b6860f1f5c9e9119bbc9a39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.47M
- Realized PnL
- $216.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $108.74K
- Potential payout
- $109.45K
- Potential profit
- $711.44
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $71.76K
- Potential payout
- $72.08K
- Potential profit
- $324.36
- User PnL
- $223.59
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.4K
- Potential profit
- $67.4K
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $51.42K
- Potential payout
- $51.7K
- Potential profit
- $284.35
- User PnL
- $232.65
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.34
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $55.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $66.27
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$206.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.92K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.15K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.98K
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46K
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $859.24
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.2% 7,826.66 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 74% 123.94 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 75.8% 11.6 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 2,348.37 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 7,169.69 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 2,630.08 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 7,373.81 shares
- Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to ScoreNo 75% 275 shares
- Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05?No 95% 211 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.6% 67,225.65 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.4% 20,749.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 600,110.33 shares