Polymarket Trader

rasaok

0xa8be0106fa76dab7b1385a1a88d6ac5b32732d04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $284.62
Realized PnL: $14.07
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $284.62
Potential payout: $403.71
Potential profit: $119.1
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $154.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $9.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$7.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 81% 55.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Down 29% 16.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 42% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 40% 15.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 16% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 13% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 19% 34.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 14.7% 34.05 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 32.2% 403.71 shares

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