No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $113.49
- Potential payout
- $598.89
- Potential profit
- $485.4
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$309.6
Polymarket Trader
yuanzhang
0xa8c3baa7a95a0e998942cd54106c86a7c6a97dd2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $1.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $414.58
- Potential profit
- $413.54
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.17
Yes position
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395.65
- Potential profit
- $395.65
- User PnL
- -$22.47
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $347.09
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$27.42
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$207
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $296.72
- Potential profit
- $295.68
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $27.06
- Potential payout
- $295.7
- Potential profit
- $268.64
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- -$41.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.85
- Potential profit
- $294.85
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $233.56
- Potential payout
- $258.08
- Potential profit
- $24.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $243.19
- Potential profit
- $231.4
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$35.55
Yes position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.29
- Potential profit
- $238.29
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.1
- Potential profit
- $226.1
- User PnL
- -$10.05
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $195.08
- Potential payout
- $200.7
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $82.55
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165.07
- Potential payout
- $200.09
- Potential profit
- $35.02
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $39.9
Yes position
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $17.07
- Potential payout
- $198.74
- Potential profit
- $181.67
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $196.6
- Potential profit
- $188.93
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$24.82
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $174.1
- Potential payout
- $193.44
- Potential profit
- $19.34
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $19.06
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $189.45
- Potential profit
- $185.76
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $184.53
- Potential profit
- $183.61
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.47
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $42.06
- Potential payout
- $178.97
- Potential profit
- $136.91
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$39.3
Yes position
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.12
- Potential profit
- $171.12
- User PnL
- -$11.38
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $124.38
- Potential payout
- $161.53
- Potential profit
- $37.15
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $19.83
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $122.17
- Potential profit
- $114.72
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $118
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.8
No position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.21
Yes position
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.47
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.4
No position
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.17
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.96
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.88
No position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.95
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $51.62
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.43
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.97
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.84
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.76
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.96
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.43
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.12
Yes position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $35.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.91
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.89
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $29.75
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $28.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 36% 2.83 shares
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 38.7% 30.53 shares
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 39.9% 12.49 shares
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 40.6% 51.67 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 11% 99.02 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 64% 99.09 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 10% 5.14 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 10% 11.98 shares
- Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes 2.4% 49.74 shares
- Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes 1.3% 64.45 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 14% 157.57 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 7.2% 18 shares