Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $835.14
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $234.87
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $184.2
Polymarket Trader
Ardabu
0xa8ca6e90a5e863e229584a92d7b7517544b39189
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $837.55
- Realized PnL
- $943.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.09
- Potential profit
- $81.09
- User PnL
- -$11.33
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $21.16
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.3
Yes position
Fed rate cut by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.95
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $56.02
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.72
No position
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.35
Yes position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.74
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.84
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.38
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
Yes position
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.32
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Panathinaikos position
Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes 14% 80.48 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 77.3% 15.28 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 23.58 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 3% 30.99 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.9% 5 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.1% 417 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 54% 359.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 300 shares
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes 22.6% 10 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 56.4% 313.8 shares