Polymarket Trader

0xa8CD4176B8F476604aA81B09F72B03438FE76051-1774574985700

0xa8cd4176b8f476604aa81b09f72b03438fe76051

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.93
Realized PnL: $198.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.89
Potential profit: $101.89
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $14.63
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.93
Potential payout: $12.93
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $10.14
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $3.89
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59
Potential profit: $2.59
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.65

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 45% 9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 45% 3.93 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 6% 41.66 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 28% 35.71 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 64% 3.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 9% 0.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 96% 2.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 0.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 98.5% 0.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 98.2% 0.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.2% 0.01 shares