Polymarket Trader

weatherDoge

0xa8cd5becc42d67ebb1988207761a81b1379f0d51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.16
Realized PnL: $941.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.78
Potential profit: $522.78
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.73
Potential profit: $454.73
User PnL: -$51.92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $17.76
Potential payout: $252.22
Potential profit: $234.46
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$9.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.4
Potential profit: $108.4
User PnL: -$21.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $31.76
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $30.16
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14.86
Potential profit: $14.82
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.86
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.12

No position

Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.26

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.66

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $56.14

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.21

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $32.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.48

No position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

No 99% 30.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

No 63% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?

Yes 14.1% 52.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

No 13% 10.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

No 10% 15.6 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2?

No 30% 2.69 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?

Yes 28.1% 25.39 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?

Yes 26.5% 5.19 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 0.2% 520.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?

Yes 0.4% 88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?

Yes 0.3% 20.88 shares
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

No 91.1% 17.39 shares