Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
HimuraKenshin
0xa8d4877be3235dd6e1a0d2f43a64ee30bb1b0a2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $818.09
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $92.53
- Potential payout
- $257.02
- Potential profit
- $164.49
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $231.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $130
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $249.94
- Potential profit
- $234.94
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $204.44
- Potential payout
- $223.92
- Potential profit
- $19.48
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $140.25
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$31.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $104.25
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $106.69
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.8
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $29.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $70.5
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $62.02
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.98
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.03
- Potential profit
- $40.03
- User PnL
- -$5.66
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $36.19
- Potential payout
- $37.94
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $29.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $19.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $19.78
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.12
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.55
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $14.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 50 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 46% 100 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 41% 20 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 99.5% 6 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 39% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 41% 20.48 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 13.9% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 88% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 60 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 150 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 86% 50 shares