Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $107.41
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Polymarket Trader
otomatik-managed
0xa8da5307e4bdea8a60e10537aaa8fb9dd6a1012a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $126.92
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $70.64
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$34.38
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $49.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$19.38
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $56.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $230.59
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $119.35
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $286.79
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $962.85
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $84.35
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $144.33
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$58.11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $425.35
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $44.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $21.15
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $280.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $169
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $122.59
- Potential payout
- $196.15
- Potential profit
- $73.56
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $25.43
- Potential payout
- $118.57
- Potential profit
- $93.14
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $82.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
N
No position
Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $96.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.7
N
No position
Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $93.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $88.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $96.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.3
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $97.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
BNK FEARX position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.38
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.66
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
BNK FEARX position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.22
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.84
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.93
DN Freecs position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Team WE position
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
DRX position
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.69
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
BNK FEARX position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 75% 30 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 21% 100 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No 90% 50 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 86% 72.43 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 30 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 50 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.7% 100 shares
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 87% 100 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No 93% 50 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 89.5% 50 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 94.9% 50 shares