Heedle

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rust win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.6
Potential profit: $168.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$3

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.79
Potential profit: $64.79
User PnL: -$5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.19
Potential profit: $60.19
User PnL: -$22

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $54.35
User PnL: -$50

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $47.8
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will Battlefield 6 win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.81
Potential profit: $44.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.5
Potential profit: $43.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be another combination?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.86
Potential profit: $39.86
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.36
Potential profit: $24.36
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.26
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will ARC Raiders win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Steven Dubois (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?