20sur20

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $7.56K
Potential profit: $7.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.44

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$293.98

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $998.46
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $545.99
Potential profit: $545.71
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $512.99
Potential profit: $512.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $501.99
Potential profit: $501.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $399.54
Potential profit: $399.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $99.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.91
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $63.38
Potential payout: $75.01
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $17.63

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will Mike Immler win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $49.67
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $41.44
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $28.21
Potential profit: $28.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Paris" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.71

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $10.7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $6.79

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?