No position
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.86
- Potential payout
- $53.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.69
Polymarket Trader
k888kuji0008
0xa90942eb2f6b47d1932ca46937554dd875208aba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.42
- Realized PnL
- -$1.25
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $20.05
- Potential payout
- $33.7
- Potential profit
- $13.65
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- User PnL
- -$23.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 68% 33.7 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 98.9% 69 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 88% 69.06 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No 85% 35.42 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 96.8% 16 shares
- Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?Yes 99.7% 66.73 shares
- US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?No 97.8% 10.01 shares
- US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?No 82% 10.01 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 57% 93.34 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 38% 34.64 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 38% 96.9 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 79% 79.04 shares