Polymarket Trader

MRKATSS

0xa90a2c7d0b5c5a5ab511cbfeb35f449f01b163e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $991.34
Realized PnL: $3.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $242.4
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $33.94
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $380
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $420
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $411
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $45.1
Potential payout: $392.21
Potential profit: $347.11
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $30.13
Potential payout: $350.8
Potential profit: $320.67
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $33.04
Potential payout: $248.39
Potential profit: $215.35
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $5.71

Judge position

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $67.6
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $25.32
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $39.68
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $381.49

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $270.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.46

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $85.61

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Tricksters position

Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Tricksters (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

EDward Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

CCG Esports position

LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.44

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 43% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 49% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 1,000 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.9% 1,430 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 1,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 1,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 999.99 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Yes 1% 1,018.46 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

No 0.1% 10,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 8.7% 300 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 646.62 shares