Polymarket Trader

Awpochko

0xa91fbc9349dcce36f5015962498927364c489212

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.3
Realized PnL: $1.05K
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$150.61

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$30

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $804.53
Potential profit: $804.53
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $495.05
Potential profit: $494.06
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$49.01

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.21
Potential profit: $494.21
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $451.36
Potential profit: $450.23
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$28.87

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $271.82
Potential profit: $271
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.1
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $676.94

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.31

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.17

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $10.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$93.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 494.21 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 1.2% 804.53 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 1,313.47 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 13% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 3% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 1,003.09 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 468.39 shares
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Yes 6.6% 451.36 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 511.2 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 33.2% 187.5 shares