No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $157.93
- Potential payout
- $774.57
- Potential profit
- $616.64
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Polymarket Trader
0xa921...43b2
0xa9214eb90ed6cf6f1642138a62757e5a962543b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $371.63
- Realized PnL
- $9.27
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $213.7
- Potential payout
- $557.24
- Potential profit
- $343.54
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $53.6
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.73
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.77
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.24
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$55.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 21.5% 774.57 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 39% 925.44 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.2% 78.37 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 45% 917.62 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.9% 649.38 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 88.3% 533.63 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.6% 1,075.25 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 45% 539.42 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.9% 1,500 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 35.46 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 30% 468.29 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 30% 468.3 shares