Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $583.3
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $686.12
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- $383.3
Polymarket Trader
lufei88888
0xa92729a8d9a672f5e734a413ce92bba42abf4847
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.71K
- Realized PnL
- $3.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$200
Houston Astros position
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $190.01
- Potential payout
- $844.5
- Potential profit
- $654.48
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $96.62
- Potential payout
- $751.88
- Potential profit
- $655.26
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $40.27
- Potential payout
- $732.15
- Potential profit
- $691.88
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$159.73
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $133.7
- Potential payout
- $724.64
- Potential profit
- $590.94
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $33.7
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $63.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $603.33
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$36.67
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $88.71
- Potential payout
- $645.16
- Potential profit
- $556.45
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$11.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $506.25
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $118.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $306.25
Maria Timofeeva position
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazua
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $235.02
- Potential payout
- $620.92
- Potential profit
- $385.9
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $35.02
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $188.9
- Potential payout
- $599.7
- Potential profit
- $410.79
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $594.61
- Potential payout
- $594.91
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $394.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $216.28
- Potential payout
- $592.55
- Potential profit
- $376.27
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $591.72
- Potential profit
- $591.72
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $167.59
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $420.65
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $67.59
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $73.53
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $514.71
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.47
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $67.65
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $520.59
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$32.35
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $212.89
- Potential payout
- $563.21
- Potential profit
- $350.32
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $91.26
- Potential payout
- $546.45
- Potential profit
- $455.19
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $407.5
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $64.29
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $411.9
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$35.71
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $413.54
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$96.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.79
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.53
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.03
Yes position
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.76
Elvina Kalieva position
Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibson
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.31
Kings position
Kings vs. Clippers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
Knicks position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.05
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.64
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Islanders position
Islanders vs. Sharks
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.38
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros 19.3% 1,036.75 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 32.2% 620.92 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 33.4% 599.7 shares
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageRUSTEC 30.1% 332.17 shares
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z 35.5% 563.8 shares
- Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata ZarazuaMaria Timofeeva 16% 625 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 15.8% 1,269.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 33.8% 591.72 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 33.6% 594.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 29% 344.83 shares
- Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de MinaurKamil Majchrzak 26% 769.23 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 21% 952.38 shares