Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $27.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $17.13
Polymarket Trader
StormRazer
0xa937362b23264e9d69a8344c5192b55c89954152
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.59
- Realized PnL
- $193.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.96
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.6%
- Current value
- $15.48
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $14.52
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $29.78
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $12.95
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $19.11
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- Multiplier
- 4.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.31
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $15.52
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.86
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.7%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 2.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.79
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.82
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will FlyQuest qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.81x
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 22% 10 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 59% 20 shares
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesMilwaukee Brewers 60% 10 shares
- Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 63% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 41% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.3% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 42% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 82.1% 10 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 38% 10 shares