No position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $73.86
- Potential payout
- $90.42
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Polymarket Trader
0xA95508ed7aA4Ab0355ee02356cDcd20C2ba64b3D-1780193149865
0xa95508ed7aa4ab0355ee02356cdcd20c2ba64b3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.21
- Realized PnL
- $36.96
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $48.35
- Potential payout
- $64.9
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dog" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $10.26
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $8.93
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 79.9% 90.42 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79.9% 90.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 39% 2.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 25% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 17% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79.8% 2 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube video?Yes 89.4% 64.9 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 178.57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 78.2% 92.61 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15% 483 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 12.8% 266 shares