Polymarket Trader

0xA95C1C045012837d0864111986cBd84b05B239aB-1772302461084

0xa95c1c045012837d0864111986cbd84b05b239ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $436.41
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $329.46
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$270.53

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $106.95
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $170.83
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.34
Potential profit: $183.34
User PnL: -$69.67

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.45
Potential profit: $133.45
User PnL: -$68.53

Yes position

Will Jamal Musiala record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.58
Potential profit: $103.58
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.66
Potential profit: $30.66
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.36
Potential profit: $21.36
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.38
Potential profit: $20.38
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$1

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.51

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.86

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.03

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.06

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.61

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.33

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.95

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

No position

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.84

No position

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 36% 277.78 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 24% 2,083.33 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 37.5% 1,731.6 shares
Will Jamal Musiala record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 103.58 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 1,428.57 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 28% 357.14 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 33% 303.03 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 98.3% 712.76 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 94% 712.77 shares