No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.54K
- Potential profit
- $26.54K
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Polymarket Trader
jayG8
0xa9627cd7b190d4d3547840ccd76e39d819ee8978
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.29K
- Realized PnL
- $8.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.87K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $605.07
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $52.66
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $299.19
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $540.54
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $460.46
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $40.54
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $302.58
- Potential payout
- $889.95
- Potential profit
- $587.37
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$197.42
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $739.86
- Potential profit
- $739.86
- User PnL
- -$560
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $711.37
- Potential profit
- $711.37
- User PnL
- -$490
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.59
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.95
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.67
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.02
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.49
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.2
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.19
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.67
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.2
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Indiana position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.81
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.99
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.18
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.17
Yes position
Will Solana reach $220 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.23
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $169.49
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.36
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.62
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 1,621.62 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 3,703.7 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 23% 476.19 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox 61.4% 325.86 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 16.2% 26,538.16 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 47.4% 1,055.95 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 50% 1,000.99 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 21% 476.19 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 60.3% 1,657.74 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 79% 847.45 shares
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 21% 4,761.9 shares