Polymarket Trader

0xA968bd71b0AeE51ff4f9E16750F0376D48352dAC-1774321361767

0xa968bd71b0aee51ff4f9e16750f0376d48352dac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.04
Realized PnL: $409.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$50

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $79.43
Potential payout: $80.51
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $13.41

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $49.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $27.31
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $70.42
User PnL: -$50

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.8
Potential profit: $57.8
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.77

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.11

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.34

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.84

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 46% 108.7 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

No 74% 135.14 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

No 86.5% 57.8 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 71% 70.42 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 86% 116.28 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 65% 76.92 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 80.51 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

No 60.2% 83.11 shares