No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.63K
- Potential payout
- $49.68K
- Potential profit
- $49.68
- User PnL
- $129.37
Polymarket Trader
danielleggerman
0xa96c14b37ac162284e1b45eb22052aa1bf3dd1c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.96K
- Realized PnL
- $47.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.37K
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- User PnL
- $418.11
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $23.9
- User PnL
- $51.73
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.69
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.06
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 19.1% 8,122.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 2,780 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.9% 61.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.2% 100.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 33,300 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 0.1% 8,658.29 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 0.1% 3,713.46 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 78% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.6% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.6% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.4% 3,827.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.9% 21.37 shares