Polymarket Trader

dingsie

0xa978f81d7b63c96a2d1f6ace9a36030460cd83f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.6
Realized PnL: $83.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $15.28
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.49

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.03

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$3.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Bucks position

Spread: Bucks (-3.5)

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4% 40 shares
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 5 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 49% 10 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 76% 6.5 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 67% 5 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1% 111.12 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 69% 10 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.3% 0.48 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.8% 7.26 shares
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

No 89% 5 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 45% 10 shares
SHEIN IPO before 2027?

No 75% 9 shares