Polymarket Trader

xriva

0xa97b866588467e9b70e62a2d181de53aa873c795

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $631.58
Realized PnL: $195.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $498.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: $33.75

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.96
Potential profit: $494.96
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.24
Potential profit: $278.24
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $190.9
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $114.56
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.56

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.86
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.24
Potential profit: $43.24
User PnL: -$10.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.15
Potential profit: $27.15
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $14.32
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7

Japan position

WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.89

Under position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?

Yes 56.6% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 22?

Yes 2% 20 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Under 11% 18.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Yes 92.1% 54.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6?

Yes 2% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 6?

Yes 0.3% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Yes 99.6% 149.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Yes 82.6% 11.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

No 0.2% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?

Yes 39.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?

Yes 0.1% 20 shares