Polymarket Trader

pillusch

0xa97cb2eb997156154e3506ee0c069d49e5aa55b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.83
Realized PnL: $23.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64K
Potential profit: $12.64K
User PnL: -$12.64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.14K
User PnL: -$49.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.21K
User PnL: -$3.89K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $5.24K
User PnL: -$2.9K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$2.91K

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ET

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
User PnL: -$46.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$2.13K

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $3.83K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$99.17

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$880

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6PM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Up 38% 131.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Up 48% 104.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 53% 94.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 52% 115.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Down 55% 90.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Up 51% 196.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Up 54% 92.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 53% 94.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Up 57.9% 86.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Down 50% 200 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 27.5% 364.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 99.9% 102.04 shares