Polymarket Trader

planc1

0xa97e20406715007953e9bff02f6a84896158a8d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.71
Realized PnL: $6.24
Win rate: 23.1%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $53.13
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.92
Potential payout: $13.93
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $11.1
Potential profit: $10.71
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$5.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $10.58
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $10.52
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $6.89
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $4.23
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $3.2
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 4% 6.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 21?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

No 51.6% 6.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

No 92% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

No 33.9% 11.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Yes 82% 46.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?

Yes 53% 5.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 21?

Yes 26% 5.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 24% 6.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?

No 49% 7.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?

No 49% 5.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?

No 49% 5.31 shares