No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $908.3
- Potential profit
- $908.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
psoidh
0xa9a0a99ce7becca79ec76bd8a76a6b8fb40fe259
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.2
- Realized PnL
- $4.07
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $569
- Potential profit
- $569
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.94
- Potential profit
- $122.94
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.53
- Potential profit
- $103.53
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $38.48
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $44.48
- Potential payout
- $45.98
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $32.24
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.13
No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$21.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.7% 86.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 69.9% 42.85 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 54.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.6% 53.19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 71% 43.47 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 10.63 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 94.9% 32.05 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 86% 34.88 shares
- Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No 85.3% 35.29 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 93.6% 32.05 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 79% 50.63 shares