Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
suraxy
@SuraxyPM
0xa9aca75fb5d8f04c2ec9eeb0eb0c30d2e526c5d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.38K
- Realized PnL
- $83.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $11.47K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $326.52
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $261.82
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.17
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $236.6
- Potential payout
- $10.07K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.85K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $290.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $800
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $40.02
Yes position
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$85.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $922.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$46.48
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $69.52
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $554.98
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$142.96
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $47.39
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $397.67
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $215.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $211.18
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $143.27
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $26.27
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$324.51
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $15.2
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$84.8
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $309.55
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $883.31
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$74.45
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Current value
- $317.46
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $746.07
- Multiplier
- 3.35x
- User PnL
- $117.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $401.83
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $641.88
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $36.08
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $997.09
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$116.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $665
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.9% 385.36 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 769.23 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.7% 516.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 317.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 634.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 8.8% 1,665.82 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 506.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61.4% 814.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 60% 833.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 844.47 shares