Polymarket Trader

VvVv

0xa9b44dca52ed35e59ac2a6f49d1203b8155464ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $88.03K
Realized PnL: $1.38M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $60.45K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $9.56K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $25.45K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $9.56K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $60.45K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$25.45K

Under position

Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $40K
User PnL: -$27.35K

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.46K
Potential payout: $5.46K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $38.95
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$610.41

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $120

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $166.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $397.51

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.82K

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $490.11
Potential payout: $990.13
Potential profit: $500.02
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.85
Potential profit: $857.85
User PnL: -$38.43

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $800.09
Potential payout: $800.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $47.13

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $254.62
Potential payout: $514.38
Potential profit: $259.76
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $100.97
Potential payout: $199.94
Potential profit: $98.97
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.47
Potential profit: $175.47
User PnL: -$14.28

Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports position

LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $20.84
Potential profit: $10.42
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.89K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.02K

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.26K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.88K

Yes position

Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.1-0.4 on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.65K

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.27K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.06K

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.54K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.89K

No position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.4K

Yes position

Will Trump sign between 1 and 3 executive orders on January 22?

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.21K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 6 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.7K

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.1K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.18K

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.53K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.11K

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7K

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.39K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.35K

Yes position

Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71K

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.85K

No position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.62K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 92.1% 800 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 95% 1,314.07 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 97.1% 3,685.93 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 3,423.33 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 8,934.27 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 5.7% 3,119.14 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 5.6% 7,116.71 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 11% 3,000.09 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 3,008.77 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 11% 2,000 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 11% 5,000 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 4% 10,000 shares