Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $7.27
- Potential payout
- $538.18
- Potential profit
- $530.92
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Polymarket Trader
ama-tradeus
0xa9b9fb40034e3c32d1c50b7f802efa7675f292b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.83
- Realized PnL
- $70.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244
- Potential profit
- $244
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.29
- Potential profit
- $204.29
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $176.27
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.73
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $152.08
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.04
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $31.79
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Brunno Ferreira position
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $20.79
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.47
- Potential profit
- $16.47
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Yes position
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.09
- Potential profit
- $16.09
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $7.84
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Sara Bejlek position
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemund
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Ignacio Buse position
Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Buse
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Xinyu Wang position
Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Leylah Fernandez
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Over position
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Under position
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Y
Yes position
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Madison Keys position
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Talia Gibson vs Madison Keys
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Antonia Ruzic position
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Under position
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 25 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma RaducanuAntonia Ruzic 40% 6.45 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 155.89 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 19.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes 84% 5 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 76.92 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 19.23 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17.8% 10.43 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes 1% 244 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 5.53 shares
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers 41% 4.98 shares