Polymarket Trader

0xa9c4...fe8b

0xa9c42d4e0abe8319f2b3437a114586169771fe8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $78.62
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $11.48
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 86.8%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $45.64
Potential profit: $6.05
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $18.23
Potential payout: $30.65
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.54

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.73

No position

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.68

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.58

Under position

Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

Under position

76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.17

Celtics position

Hawks vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.62

Under position

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.87

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 62% 30.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 72.3% 45.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Up 46% 30.43 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 55% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 56% 8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Down 99% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Down 50% 8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 37.74 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63.1% 26.94 shares