Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $9.52K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Polymarket Trader
2kparabellum
0xa9d0a507904bc87a93f944544ac936238ce660ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.89
- Realized PnL
- $78.46
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Yes position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $837.54
- Potential profit
- $836.28
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.74
- Potential profit
- $676.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $610.46
- Potential profit
- $608.32
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $500.4
- Potential profit
- $495.39
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $492.51
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $496.51
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $494.25
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $490.5
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.25
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $491.5
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $484.5
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $477.77
- Potential profit
- $475.62
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $476.72
- Potential profit
- $474.57
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.97
- Potential profit
- $449.97
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $434.06
- Potential profit
- $432.76
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $426.43
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $387.63
- Potential profit
- $384.92
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $386.17
- Potential profit
- $383.47
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $382.02
- Potential profit
- $380.11
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.11
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.36
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.4
Yes position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $12.68
Yes position
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $10.92
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $9.69
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $7.76
Yes position
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Ends Dec 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.03
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$59.2
Yes position
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 0.6% 300 shares
- Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.4% 300 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.7% 31.73 shares
- Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.6% 54.07 shares
- Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.5% 300 shares
- Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.1% 300 shares