Virginia position
Duke vs. Virginia
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.51K
- Potential profit
- $36.51K
- User PnL
- -$23K
Polymarket Trader
BTCGOOSE
@thebtcgoose
0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.99K
- Realized PnL
- $105.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.89K
- Potential payout
- $30.38K
- Potential profit
- $27.5K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.11K
- Potential payout
- $28.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $776.65
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $6.34K
- Potential payout
- $26.57K
- Potential profit
- $20.23K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$898.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $22.83K
- Potential profit
- $17.35K
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$3K
Ohio State position
Ohio State vs. Indiana
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.26K
- Potential profit
- $13.26K
- User PnL
- -$6.63K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $478.19
- Potential payout
- $10.87K
- Potential profit
- $10.39K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Texas A&M position
Miami vs. Texas A&M
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- User PnL
- -$5.75K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $7.42K
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $41.01
- User PnL
- $479.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $4.82K
- Potential payout
- $7.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$6.34K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.34K
- Potential payout
- $6.71K
- Potential profit
- $369.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $582.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $5.77K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $234
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $366
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.52K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $479.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $61.92
North Carolina Tar Heels position
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.94K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $288.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $323.55
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $360
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $110.03
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $897
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$463
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$700
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $165.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $343.55
Yes position
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Alabama position
Alabama vs. Auburn
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Georgia position
Georgia vs. Mississippi State
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Ole Miss position
Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65.6% 6,101.91 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 51% 2,941.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 90% 7,777.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 88% 2,272.88 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 83% 2,048.19 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 82.8% 7,244.2 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.4% 8,731.82 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 33.8% 5,923.48 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 3,636.76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 35.2% 3,409.79 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 19% 6,843.68 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 17% 7,647.06 shares