No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.28
- Potential profit
- $716.28
- User PnL
- -$608.84
Polymarket Trader
qihong
0xa9e795e0e4036b03537c1a80b8e51b0817d4ed80
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $39.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.19
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.49
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.48
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.39
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $47.66
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.86
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.81
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.67
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $17.12
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 58% 353.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 59% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 60% 846.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?No 80% 9.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?No 81% 57.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 25?Yes 28% 22.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 24?Yes 24% 5.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 72% 18.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?Yes 32% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?No 69% 2.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?No 81% 36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 75% 3.84 shares