Polymarket Trader

mascapollas

0xa9f52df039db4cc661bc6da593b302f366043018

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.16
Realized PnL: $110.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $81.21
Potential profit: $78.29
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.44

No position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $70.2
Potential profit: $61.28
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: -$37.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $12.77
Potential payout: $63.05
Potential profit: $50.28
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.6
Potential profit: $62.6
User PnL: -$2.19

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $27.58
Potential payout: $59.32
Potential profit: $31.74
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.68
Potential profit: $58.68
User PnL: -$39.9

No position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $33.67
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $11.83
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.54
Potential profit: $41.54
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $12.68
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $28.66
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.41
Potential profit: $27.41
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $22.44
User PnL: -$11.73

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $21.4
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.42
Potential profit: $14.42
User PnL: -$13.41

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $13.08
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.72
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.33
Potential profit: $10.33
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $10.28
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.66

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Under position

Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 32% 5 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 4% 5 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 46.7% 5.13 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 20 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 96% 11.34 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

No 94.1% 10.28 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 5.18 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 23% 5.22 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?

Yes 71% 8.45 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

No 95% 11.23 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.5% 61.71 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 30 shares